February 4, 2022
Women's Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alexis Davis | Julija Stoliarenko |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 14 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 10 | -10 |
| Experience ELO | 1 035 | 906 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
Alexis Davis's 10-fight experience advantage (14 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Alexis Davis for the expected result. Had Julija Stoliarenko pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Alexis Davis | Julija Stoliarenko |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 026 | 925 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alexis Davis | Julija Stoliarenko |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 032 | 894 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -34 |
Alexis Davis earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Alexis Davis | Julija Stoliarenko |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 85 | 56 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 120 | 113 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 171 | 93 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 027 | 855 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
Alexis Davis dominated the striking exchanges with 171 vs 93 total strikes, 85 vs 56 significant strikes, 70.8% vs 49.6% accuracy. Alexis Davis capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Alexis Davis | Julija Stoliarenko |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 9:09 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 43 | 4 |
| Ground ELO | 1 118 | 782 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
Alexis Davis controlled Julija Stoliarenko on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 9:09 of control time, 43 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Alexis Davis | Julija Stoliarenko |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 239 | 225 |
| Activity ELO | 1 073 | 929 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -15 |
Alexis Davis demonstrated standard activity with 239 days since her last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Alexis Davis capitalized on this activity level, while Julija Stoliarenko's 225-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alexis Davis | Julija Stoliarenko |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 039 | 927 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -16 |
Alexis Davis started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Julija Stoliarenko is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alexis Davis | Julija Stoliarenko |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Bantamweight | Women's Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 022 | 925 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.