July 27, 2018
Women's Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alexis Davis | Katlyn Cerminara |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 9 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | 4 | -4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 069 | 1 123 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +43 |
Katlyn Cerminara overcame a 4-fight experience disadvantage (5 vs 9 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Alexis Davis.
| Metric | Alexis Davis | Katlyn Cerminara |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 054 | 1 061 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alexis Davis | Katlyn Cerminara |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 070 | 1 134 |
| ELO Change | -45 | +45 |
Katlyn Cerminara earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Alexis Davis | Katlyn Cerminara |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 70 | 62 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 201 | 202 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 77 | 62 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 026 | 1 068 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Alexis Davis controlled the striking through superior volume (77 vs 62 total strikes), solid significant strike edge (70 vs 62). However, since Alexis Davis lost the overall fight, her striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Katlyn Cerminara's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Alexis Davis | Katlyn Cerminara |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:19 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 072 | 1 014 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +28 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Alexis Davis | Katlyn Cerminara |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 231 | 182 |
| Activity ELO | 1 106 | 1 089 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +32 |
Katlyn Cerminara demonstrated standard activity with 182 days since her last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Katlyn Cerminara capitalized on this activity level, while Alexis Davis's 231-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alexis Davis | Katlyn Cerminara |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 064 | 1 077 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +31 |
Katlyn Cerminara extended her 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Alexis Davis is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alexis Davis | Katlyn Cerminara |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Flyweight | Women's Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 049 | 1 061 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.