December 8, 2017
Women's Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alexis Davis | Liz Carmouche |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 8 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 103 | 994 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (8 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Alexis Davis | Liz Carmouche |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 077 | 986 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alexis Davis | Liz Carmouche |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 115 | 1 009 |
| ELO Change | +8 | -8 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Alexis Davis receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Alexis Davis | Liz Carmouche |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 23 | 49 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 63 | 71 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 132 | 191 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 047 | 1 040 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
Liz Carmouche controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (191 vs 132 total strikes), significant strike advantage (49 vs 23), superior accuracy (69.0% vs 36.5%). However, since Liz Carmouche lost the overall fight, her striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Alexis Davis's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Alexis Davis | Liz Carmouche |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 4 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 5:50 | 6:33 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 7 | 17 |
| Ground ELO | 1 100 | 1 004 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
Alexis Davis did not secure a significant ground advantage against Liz Carmouche on the ground with 1 takedown, 5:50 of control time, 7 ground strikes, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Alexis Davis | Liz Carmouche |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 232 | 392 |
| Activity ELO | 1 131 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -15 |
Alexis Davis demonstrated standard activity with 232 days since her last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Alexis Davis capitalized on this activity level, while Liz Carmouche's 392-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alexis Davis | Liz Carmouche |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 087 | 995 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -18 |
Alexis Davis extended her 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Liz Carmouche is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alexis Davis | Liz Carmouche |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Flyweight | Women's Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 072 | 986 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.