February 26, 2021
Women's Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alexis Davis | Sabina Mazo |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 12 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | 7 | -7 |
| Experience ELO | 1 040 | 1 045 |
| ELO Change | +39 | -39 |
Alexis Davis's 7-fight experience advantage (12 vs 5 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Alexis Davis for the expected result. Had Sabina Mazo pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Alexis Davis | Sabina Mazo |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 030 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alexis Davis | Sabina Mazo |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 036 | 1 035 |
| ELO Change | +55 | -55 |
Alexis Davis earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Alexis Davis | Sabina Mazo |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 49 | 64 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 83 | 165 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 128 | 71 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 025 | 1 080 |
| ELO Change | +40 | -40 |
Alexis Davis dominated the striking exchanges with 128 vs 71 total strikes, 49 vs 64 significant strikes, 59.0% vs 38.8% accuracy. Alexis Davis capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Alexis Davis | Sabina Mazo |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 8:50 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 123 | 983 |
| ELO Change | +111 | -111 |
Alexis Davis dominated Sabina Mazo on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 8:50 of control time, 3 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Alexis Davis | Sabina Mazo |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 582 | 169 |
| Activity ELO | 1 075 | 1 065 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -23 |
Alexis Davis demonstrated extended layoff with 582 days since her last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Alexis Davis capitalized on this activity level, while Sabina Mazo's 169-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alexis Davis | Sabina Mazo |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 042 | 1 035 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -24 |
Alexis Davis started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Sabina Mazo is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alexis Davis | Sabina Mazo |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Bantamweight | Women's Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 026 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.