December 2, 2016
Women's Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alexis Davis | Sara McMann |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 050 | 1 046 |
| ELO Change | -39 | +39 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (6 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Alexis Davis | Sara McMann |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 040 | 1 030 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alexis Davis | Sara McMann |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 2:52 | 2:52 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 074 | 1 129 |
| ELO Change | -51 | +79 |
Sara McMann earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 2:52, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Alexis Davis was submitted.
| Metric | Alexis Davis | Sara McMann |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 21 | 14 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 29 | 36 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 55 | 25 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 000 | 996 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
Alexis Davis controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (55 vs 25 total strikes), solid significant strike edge (21 vs 14), superior accuracy (72.4% vs 38.9%). However, since Alexis Davis lost the overall fight, her striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Sara McMann's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Alexis Davis | Sara McMann |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 6:10 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 10 | 6 |
| Ground ELO | 1 060 | 1 122 |
| ELO Change | -88 | +88 |
Sara McMann controlled Alexis Davis on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 6 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Alexis Davis | Sara McMann |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 589 | 189 |
| Activity ELO | 1 079 | 1 053 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +32 |
Sara McMann demonstrated standard activity with 189 days since her last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Sara McMann capitalized on this activity level, while Alexis Davis's 589-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alexis Davis | Sara McMann |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 046 | 1 037 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +30 |
Sara McMann extended her 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Alexis Davis is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alexis Davis | Sara McMann |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Bantamweight | Women's Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 035 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.