April 24, 2015
Women's Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alexis Davis | Sarah Kaufman |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 089 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
Alexis Davis's 2-fight experience advantage (5 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Alexis Davis for the expected result. Had Sarah Kaufman pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Alexis Davis | Sarah Kaufman |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 065 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alexis Davis | Sarah Kaufman |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 3:07 | 3:07 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 125 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | +61 | -39 |
Alexis Davis earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 3:07, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Sarah Kaufman was submitted.
| Metric | Alexis Davis | Sarah Kaufman |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 34 | 65 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 99 | 130 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 40 | 76 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 024 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
Sarah Kaufman controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (76 vs 40 total strikes), significant strike advantage (65 vs 34), superior accuracy (50.0% vs 34.3%). However, since Sarah Kaufman lost the overall fight, her striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Alexis Davis's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Alexis Davis | Sarah Kaufman |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:51 | 1:27 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 7 |
| Ground ELO | 1 148 | 1 012 |
| ELO Change | +48 | -48 |
Alexis Davis controlled Sarah Kaufman on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 0:51 of control time, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Alexis Davis | Sarah Kaufman |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 294 | 374 |
| Activity ELO | 1 105 | 1 019 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
Alexis Davis demonstrated standard activity with 294 days since her last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Alexis Davis capitalized on this activity level, while Sarah Kaufman's 374-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alexis Davis | Sarah Kaufman |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 071 | 1 004 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -19 |
Alexis Davis started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Sarah Kaufman is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alexis Davis | Sarah Kaufman |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Bantamweight | Women's Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 059 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.