August 7, 2020
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Ali AlQaisi | Irwin Rivera |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 966 | 1 011 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +34 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Ali AlQaisi | Irwin Rivera |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 978 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Ali AlQaisi | Irwin Rivera |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 988 | 973 |
| ELO Change | -12 | +12 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Irwin Rivera receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Ali AlQaisi | Irwin Rivera |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 44 | 36 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 105 | 73 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 54 | 45 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 976 | 966 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
Ali AlQaisi controlled the striking through solid significant strike edge (44 vs 36). However, since Ali AlQaisi lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Irwin Rivera's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Ali AlQaisi | Irwin Rivera |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 9 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:55 | 1:02 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 925 | 1 024 |
| ELO Change | -75 | +75 |
Irwin Rivera controlled Ali AlQaisi on the ground with 2 takedowns, 1:02 of control time, 3 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Ali AlQaisi | Irwin Rivera |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 84 |
| Activity ELO | 978 | 1 049 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +66 |
Irwin Rivera demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 84 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Irwin Rivera capitalized on this activity level, while Ali AlQaisi's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Ali AlQaisi | Irwin Rivera |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 978 | 1 006 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +24 |
Irwin Rivera started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ali AlQaisi is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Ali AlQaisi | Irwin Rivera |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 978 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.