June 13, 2014
UFC Flyweight Title Bout
Title Fight
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Ali Bagautinov | Demetrious Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 10 |
| Experience Gap | -6 | 6 |
| Experience ELO | 1 107 | 1 206 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +28 |
Demetrious Johnson's 6-fight experience advantage (10 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Demetrious Johnson for the expected result. Had Ali Bagautinov pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Ali Bagautinov | Demetrious Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | Yes | Yes |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 053 | 1 280 |
| ELO Change | -11 | +33 |
Title fight! The championship stakes amplified the pressure. Demetrious Johnson captured the UFC Flyweight Title Bout with a title bonus.
| Metric | Ali Bagautinov | Demetrious Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 5 | 5 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 155 | 1 344 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
Demetrious Johnson earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Ali Bagautinov | Demetrious Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 36 | 133 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 122 | 215 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 66 | 164 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 142 | 1 378 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
Demetrious Johnson dominated the striking exchanges with 164 vs 66 total strikes, 133 vs 36 significant strikes, 61.9% vs 29.5% accuracy. Demetrious Johnson capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Ali Bagautinov | Demetrious Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 12 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 8:11 | 1:26 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 160 | 1 413 |
| ELO Change | -11 | +11 |
Demetrious Johnson did not secure a significant ground advantage against Ali Bagautinov on the ground with 0 takedowns, 1:26 of control time, 1 ground strike, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Ali Bagautinov | Demetrious Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 133 | 182 |
| Activity ELO | 1 143 | 1 257 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +20 |
Demetrious Johnson demonstrated standard activity with 182 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Demetrious Johnson capitalized on this activity level, while Ali Bagautinov's 133-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Ali Bagautinov | Demetrious Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 6 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 061 | 1 201 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +38 |
Demetrious Johnson continued building serious momentum with a 6-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Ali Bagautinov's now at 0.
| Metric | Ali Bagautinov | Demetrious Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 046 | 1 139 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.