January 31, 2014
Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Ali Bagautinov | John Lineker |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 135 | 1 054 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -30 |
Ali Bagautinov overcame a 3-fight experience disadvantage (3 vs 6 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran John Lineker.
| Metric | Ali Bagautinov | John Lineker |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 064 | 1 036 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Ali Bagautinov | John Lineker |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 181 | 1 152 |
| ELO Change | +50 | -50 |
Ali Bagautinov earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Ali Bagautinov | John Lineker |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 49 | 27 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 92 | 54 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 86 | 52 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 168 | 1 233 |
| ELO Change | +52 | -52 |
Ali Bagautinov controlled the striking exchanges with 86 vs 52 total strikes, 49 vs 27 significant strikes. Ali Bagautinov capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Ali Bagautinov | John Lineker |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 6 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 12 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 7:21 | 0:21 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 18 | 6 |
| Ground ELO | 1 171 | 992 |
| ELO Change | +87 | -87 |
Ali Bagautinov dominated John Lineker on the ground with 6 vs 0 takedowns, 7:21 of control time, 18 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Ali Bagautinov | John Lineker |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 77 | 99 |
| Activity ELO | 1 159 | 1 115 |
| ELO Change | +73 | -24 |
Ali Bagautinov demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 77 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Ali Bagautinov capitalized on this activity level, while John Lineker's 99-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Ali Bagautinov | John Lineker |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 077 | 1 052 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -23 |
Ali Bagautinov extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. John Lineker is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Ali Bagautinov | John Lineker |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 064 | 1 036 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.