November 18, 2016
Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Ali Bagautinov | Kyoji Horiguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 081 | 1 181 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (7 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Ali Bagautinov | Kyoji Horiguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 038 | 1 117 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Ali Bagautinov | Kyoji Horiguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 128 | 1 254 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +36 |
Kyoji Horiguchi earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Ali Bagautinov | Kyoji Horiguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 36 | 55 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 84 | 92 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 48 | 115 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 140 | 1 277 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +31 |
Kyoji Horiguchi dominated the striking exchanges with 115 vs 48 total strikes, 55 vs 36 significant strikes, 59.8% vs 42.9% accuracy. Kyoji Horiguchi capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Ali Bagautinov | Kyoji Horiguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 4 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 6 | 9 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:49 | 4:32 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 157 | 1 227 |
| ELO Change | -56 | +56 |
Kyoji Horiguchi edged out Ali Bagautinov on the ground with 4 vs 2 takedowns, 4:32 of control time, 2 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Ali Bagautinov | Kyoji Horiguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 155 | 196 |
| Activity ELO | 1 126 | 1 181 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +26 |
Kyoji Horiguchi demonstrated standard activity with 196 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Kyoji Horiguchi capitalized on this activity level, while Ali Bagautinov's 155-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Ali Bagautinov | Kyoji Horiguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 047 | 1 139 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +23 |
Kyoji Horiguchi extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ali Bagautinov is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Ali Bagautinov | Kyoji Horiguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 031 | 1 111 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.