September 3, 2013
Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Ali Bagautinov | Marcos Vinicius |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 067 | 933 |
| ELO Change | +67 | -67 |
Ali Bagautinov overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (1 vs 3 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Marcos Vinicius.
| Metric | Ali Bagautinov | Marcos Vinicius |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 021 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Ali Bagautinov | Marcos Vinicius |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 3:28 | 3:28 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 094 | 995 |
| ELO Change | +94 | -47 |
Ali Bagautinov gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Ali Bagautinov | Marcos Vinicius |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 38 | 27 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 68 | 47 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 46 | 45 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 2 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 096 | 832 |
| ELO Change | +96 | -96 |
Ali Bagautinov dominated the striking exchanges with 38 vs 27 significant strikes, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Ali Bagautinov capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Ali Bagautinov | Marcos Vinicius |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:06 | 2:41 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 19 | 9 |
| Ground ELO | 1 049 | 925 |
| ELO Change | +49 | -49 |
Ali Bagautinov controlled Marcos Vinicius on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 4:06 of control time, 19 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Ali Bagautinov | Marcos Vinicius |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 263 |
| Activity ELO | 1 021 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Ali Bagautinov demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Ali Bagautinov capitalized on this activity level, while Marcos Vinicius's 263-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Ali Bagautinov | Marcos Vinicius |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 023 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -21 |
Ali Bagautinov started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Marcos Vinicius is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Ali Bagautinov | Marcos Vinicius |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 021 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.