November 15, 2013
Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Ali Bagautinov | Tim Elliott |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 099 | 1 005 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -29 |
Ali Bagautinov overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 4 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Tim Elliott.
| Metric | Ali Bagautinov | Tim Elliott |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 042 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Ali Bagautinov | Tim Elliott |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 131 | 1 017 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -37 |
Ali Bagautinov earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Ali Bagautinov | Tim Elliott |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 43 | 48 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 150 | 158 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 43 | 72 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 116 | 1 067 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
Tim Elliott controlled the striking through superior volume (72 vs 43 total strikes), solid significant strike edge (48 vs 43). However, since Tim Elliott lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Ali Bagautinov's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Ali Bagautinov | Tim Elliott |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:34 | 1:06 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 084 | 1 108 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -35 |
Ali Bagautinov did not secure a significant ground advantage against Tim Elliott on the ground with 1 takedown, 0:34 of control time, 1 ground strike, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Ali Bagautinov | Tim Elliott |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 74 | 78 |
| Activity ELO | 1 086 | 1 010 |
| ELO Change | +65 | -22 |
Ali Bagautinov demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 74 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Ali Bagautinov capitalized on this activity level, while Tim Elliott's 78-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Ali Bagautinov | Tim Elliott |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 048 | 1 006 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -21 |
Ali Bagautinov extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Tim Elliott is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Ali Bagautinov | Tim Elliott |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 042 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.