August 16, 2025
Ultimate Fighter 33 Flyweight Tournament Title Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
| Metric | Alibi Idiris | Joseph Morales |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 965 | 995 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +35 |
Joseph Morales's 3-fight experience advantage (4 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Joseph Morales for the expected result. Had Alibi Idiris pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Alibi Idiris | Joseph Morales |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 978 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alibi Idiris | Joseph Morales |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 3:04 | 3:04 |
| Win Type ELO | 960 | 1 081 |
| ELO Change | -40 | +61 |
Joseph Morales earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 3:04, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Alibi Idiris was submitted.
| Metric | Alibi Idiris | Joseph Morales |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 28 | 29 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 56 | 63 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 50 | 44 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 976 | 975 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
The striking was extremely close with minimal separation between fighters. However, since Alibi Idiris lost the overall fight, any slight striking edge couldn't be converted into ELO gains. Joseph Morales's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Alibi Idiris | Joseph Morales |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:04 | 3:38 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 822 | 1 084 |
| ELO Change | -178 | +178 |
Joseph Morales dominated Alibi Idiris on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 3:38 of control time, 2 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Alibi Idiris | Joseph Morales |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 2 472 |
| Activity ELO | 978 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +20 |
Joseph Morales demonstrated extended layoff with 2472 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Joseph Morales capitalized on this activity level, while Alibi Idiris's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alibi Idiris | Joseph Morales |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 978 | 1 005 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +24 |
Joseph Morales started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Alibi Idiris is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alibi Idiris | Joseph Morales |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 978 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.