October 19, 2024
Women's Strawweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alice Ardelean | Melissa Martinez |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 944 | 997 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +31 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Alice Ardelean | Melissa Martinez |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 957 | 999 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alice Ardelean | Melissa Martinez |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 941 | 996 |
| ELO Change | -47 | +47 |
Melissa Martinez earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Alice Ardelean | Melissa Martinez |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 92 | 72 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 224 | 145 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 103 | 78 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 940 | 950 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
Alice Ardelean controlled the striking through superior volume (103 vs 78 total strikes), significant strike advantage (92 vs 72). However, since Alice Ardelean lost the overall fight, her striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Melissa Martinez's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Alice Ardelean | Melissa Martinez |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:41 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 950 | 947 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
Melissa Martinez did not secure a significant ground advantage against Alice Ardelean on the ground through positional advantages and pressure, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Alice Ardelean | Melissa Martinez |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 85 | 771 |
| Activity ELO | 957 | 997 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +19 |
Melissa Martinez demonstrated extended layoff with 771 days since her last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Melissa Martinez capitalized on this activity level, while Alice Ardelean's 85-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alice Ardelean | Melissa Martinez |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 957 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +23 |
Melissa Martinez started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Alice Ardelean is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alice Ardelean | Melissa Martinez |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Strawweight | Women's Strawweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 957 | 999 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

