May 31, 2025
Women's Strawweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alice Ardelean | Rayanne dos Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 973 | 899 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -19 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Alice Ardelean | Rayanne dos Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 978 | 938 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alice Ardelean | Rayanne dos Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 988 | 933 |
| ELO Change | +47 | -47 |
Alice Ardelean earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Alice Ardelean | Rayanne dos Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 154 | 78 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 352 | 225 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 159 | 79 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 982 | 914 |
| ELO Change | +42 | -42 |
Alice Ardelean dominated the striking exchanges with 159 vs 79 total strikes, 154 vs 78 significant strikes, 43.8% vs 34.7% accuracy. Alice Ardelean capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Alice Ardelean | Rayanne dos Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 6 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:32 | 0:30 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 975 | 899 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
Alice Ardelean did not secure a significant ground advantage against Rayanne dos Santos on the ground with 1 takedown, 0:32 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Alice Ardelean | Rayanne dos Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 224 | 358 |
| Activity ELO | 983 | 938 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -21 |
Alice Ardelean demonstrated standard activity with 224 days since her last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Alice Ardelean capitalized on this activity level, while Rayanne dos Santos's 358-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alice Ardelean | Rayanne dos Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 980 | 938 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -21 |
Alice Ardelean started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Rayanne dos Santos is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alice Ardelean | Rayanne dos Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Strawweight | Women's Strawweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 978 | 938 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.