May 7, 2016
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alistair Overeem | Andrei Arlovski |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 9 | 20 |
| Experience Gap | -11 | 11 |
| Experience ELO | 1 288 | 1 199 |
| ELO Change | +54 | -31 |
Alistair Overeem overcame a 11-fight experience disadvantage (9 vs 20 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Andrei Arlovski.
| Metric | Alistair Overeem | Andrei Arlovski |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 106 | 1 162 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -28 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alistair Overeem | Andrei Arlovski |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 1:12 | 1:12 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 568 | 1 501 |
| ELO Change | +109 | -53 |
Alistair Overeem gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Alistair Overeem | Andrei Arlovski |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 23 | 16 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 30 | 33 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 33 | 29 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 524 | 1 348 |
| ELO Change | +94 | -94 |
Alistair Overeem controlled the striking exchanges with 23 vs 16 significant strikes, 76.7% vs 48.5% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Alistair Overeem capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Alistair Overeem | Andrei Arlovski |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:19 | 0:47 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 10 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 314 | 1 208 |
| ELO Change | +50 | -50 |
Alistair Overeem landed 1 knockdown followed by 10 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Alistair Overeem | Andrei Arlovski |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 141 | 127 |
| Activity ELO | 1 249 | 1 260 |
| ELO Change | +53 | -26 |
Alistair Overeem demonstrated solid activity levels with 141 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Alistair Overeem capitalized on this activity level, while Andrei Arlovski's 127-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alistair Overeem | Andrei Arlovski |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 4 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 145 | 1 234 |
| ELO Change | +42 | -30 |
Alistair Overeem extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Andrei Arlovski is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alistair Overeem | Andrei Arlovski |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 095 | 1 132 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.