February 1, 2013
Heavyweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alistair Overeem | Antonio Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 073 | 1 081 |
| ELO Change | -38 | +38 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Alistair Overeem | Antonio Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 010 | 1 038 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alistair Overeem | Antonio Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 0:25 | 0:25 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 123 | 1 236 |
| ELO Change | -45 | +89 |
Antonio Silva gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Alistair Overeem | Antonio Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 51 | 21 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 71 | 48 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 73 | 42 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 101 | 1 256 |
| ELO Change | -91 | +91 |
Alistair Overeem controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (73 vs 42 total strikes), significant strike advantage (51 vs 21), superior accuracy (71.8% vs 43.8%). However, since Alistair Overeem lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Antonio Silva's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Alistair Overeem | Antonio Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 6:24 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 19 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 066 | 1 092 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
Antonio Silva landed 1 knockdown followed by 1 ground strike. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Alistair Overeem | Antonio Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 400 | 121 |
| Activity ELO | 1 009 | 1 089 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +40 |
Antonio Silva demonstrated solid activity levels with 121 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Antonio Silva capitalized on this activity level, while Alistair Overeem's 400-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alistair Overeem | Antonio Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 008 | 1 046 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +26 |
Antonio Silva extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Alistair Overeem is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alistair Overeem | Antonio Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 003 | 1 035 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.