Alistair Overeem vs Ben Rothwell

September 4, 2014

Heavyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1052
(-41)
Alistair Overeem
Winner: Ben Rothwell
KO/TKO
Round 1 • 2:19

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Alistair Overeem-41
Ben Rothwell+46
1119
(+46)
Ben Rothwell

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Alistair Overeem: -35Ben Rothwell: +35

Performance Statistics

MetricAlistair OvereemBen Rothwell
Total UFC Fights57
Experience Gap-22
Experience ELO1 0761 107
ELO Change-35+35
💡

What Happened

Ben Rothwell's 2-fight experience advantage (7 vs 5 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Ben Rothwell for the expected result. Had Alistair Overeem pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Alistair Overeem: -21Ben Rothwell: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricAlistair OvereemBen Rothwell
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9991 036
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Alistair Overeem: -36Ben Rothwell: +80

Performance Statistics

MetricAlistair OvereemBen Rothwell
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round11
Time of Finish2:192:19
Win Type ELO1 1311 301
ELO Change-36+80
💡

What Happened

Ben Rothwell earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:19, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Alistair Overeem: -101Ben Rothwell: +101

Performance Statistics

MetricAlistair OvereemBen Rothwell
Significant Strikes Landed2017
Significant Strikes Attempted2127
Total Strikes Landed2022
Knockdowns Scored01
Striking ELO1 1141 250
ELO Change-101+101
💡

What Happened

Ben Rothwell controlled the striking exchanges with 63.0% vs 95.2% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Ben Rothwell capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Alistair Overeem: -69Ben Rothwell: +69

Performance Statistics

MetricAlistair OvereemBen Rothwell
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted10
Ground Control Time0:020:13
Ground Strikes Landed05
Ground ELO1 0761 105
ELO Change-69+69
💡

What Happened

Ben Rothwell landed 1 knockdown followed by 5 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Alistair Overeem: -21Ben Rothwell: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricAlistair OvereemBen Rothwell
Days Since Last Fight216370
Activity ELO1 0271 070
ELO Change-21+19
💡

What Happened

Ben Rothwell demonstrated extended layoff with 370 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Ben Rothwell capitalized on this activity level, while Alistair Overeem's 216-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Alistair Overeem: -21Ben Rothwell: +25

Performance Statistics

MetricAlistair OvereemBen Rothwell
Win Streak02
Win Streak ELO1 0011 049
ELO Change-21+25
💡

What Happened

Ben Rothwell extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Alistair Overeem is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Alistair Overeem: -21Ben Rothwell: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricAlistair OvereemBen Rothwell
Weight ClassHeavyweightHeavyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9921 035
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.