December 29, 2011
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alistair Overeem | Brock Lesnar |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | -6 | 6 |
| Experience ELO | 1 111 | 1 068 |
| ELO Change | +111 | -111 |
Alistair Overeem overcame a 6-fight experience disadvantage (1 vs 7 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Brock Lesnar.
| Metric | Alistair Overeem | Brock Lesnar |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 032 | 1 176 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -32 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alistair Overeem | Brock Lesnar |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:26 | 2:26 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 168 | 1 283 |
| ELO Change | +168 | -75 |
Alistair Overeem earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:26, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Alistair Overeem | Brock Lesnar |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 19 | 6 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 24 | 18 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 20 | 8 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 192 | 1 113 |
| ELO Change | +192 | -192 |
Alistair Overeem controlled the striking exchanges with 19 vs 6 significant strikes, 79.2% vs 33.3% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Alistair Overeem capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Alistair Overeem | Brock Lesnar |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:16 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 4 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 088 | 1 189 |
| ELO Change | +88 | -88 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Alistair Overeem | Brock Lesnar |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 434 |
| Activity ELO | 1 029 | 1 118 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
Alistair Overeem demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Alistair Overeem capitalized on this activity level, while Brock Lesnar's 434-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alistair Overeem | Brock Lesnar |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 030 | 1 072 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -27 |
Alistair Overeem started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Brock Lesnar is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alistair Overeem | Brock Lesnar |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 025 | 1 047 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.