June 8, 2018
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alistair Overeem | Curtis Blaydes |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 14 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | 7 | -7 |
| Experience ELO | 1 236 | 1 217 |
| ELO Change | -42 | +62 |
Curtis Blaydes overcame a 7-fight experience disadvantage (7 vs 14 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Alistair Overeem.
| Metric | Alistair Overeem | Curtis Blaydes |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 092 | 1 093 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alistair Overeem | Curtis Blaydes |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 2:56 | 2:56 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 491 | 1 369 |
| ELO Change | -74 | +148 |
Curtis Blaydes gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Alistair Overeem | Curtis Blaydes |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 7 | 37 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 12 | 53 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 24 | 62 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 231 | 1 355 |
| ELO Change | -114 | +114 |
Curtis Blaydes controlled the striking exchanges with 62 vs 24 total strikes, 37 vs 7 significant strikes, 69.8% vs 58.3% accuracy. Curtis Blaydes capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Alistair Overeem | Curtis Blaydes |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 4 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 7:45 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 22 |
| Ground ELO | 1 159 | 1 399 |
| ELO Change | -82 | +82 |
Curtis Blaydes dominated Alistair Overeem on the ground with 4 vs 0 takedowns, 7:45 of control time, 22 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Alistair Overeem | Curtis Blaydes |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 189 | 119 |
| Activity ELO | 1 253 | 1 245 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +68 |
Curtis Blaydes demonstrated solid activity levels with 119 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Curtis Blaydes capitalized on this activity level, while Alistair Overeem's 189-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alistair Overeem | Curtis Blaydes |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 4 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 134 | 1 124 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +35 |
Curtis Blaydes extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Alistair Overeem is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alistair Overeem | Curtis Blaydes |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 077 | 1 091 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.