December 6, 2019
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alistair Overeem | Jairzinho Rozenstruik |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 17 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 13 | -13 |
| Experience ELO | 1 235 | 1 259 |
| ELO Change | -39 | +74 |
Jairzinho Rozenstruik overcame a 13-fight experience disadvantage (4 vs 17 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Alistair Overeem.
| Metric | Alistair Overeem | Jairzinho Rozenstruik |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 102 | 1 088 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alistair Overeem | Jairzinho Rozenstruik |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 5 | 5 |
| Time of Finish | 4:56 | 4:56 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 502 | 1 485 |
| ELO Change | -65 | +130 |
Jairzinho Rozenstruik gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 5, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Alistair Overeem | Jairzinho Rozenstruik |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 74 | 89 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 105 | 209 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 101 | 109 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 219 | 1 357 |
| ELO Change | -105 | +105 |
Jairzinho Rozenstruik controlled the striking exchanges with 89 vs 74 significant strikes, 42.6% vs 70.5% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Jairzinho Rozenstruik capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Alistair Overeem | Jairzinho Rozenstruik |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 10 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 8:21 | 0:06 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 19 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 222 | 1 117 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
Jairzinho Rozenstruik landed 1 knockdown followed by 2 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Alistair Overeem | Jairzinho Rozenstruik |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 232 | 35 |
| Activity ELO | 1 266 | 1 274 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +154 |
Jairzinho Rozenstruik demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 35 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Jairzinho Rozenstruik capitalized on this activity level, while Alistair Overeem's 232-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alistair Overeem | Jairzinho Rozenstruik |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 4 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 145 | 1 117 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +37 |
Jairzinho Rozenstruik extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Alistair Overeem is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alistair Overeem | Jairzinho Rozenstruik |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 089 | 1 086 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.