March 3, 2017
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alistair Overeem | Mark Hunt |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 11 | 14 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 290 | 1 174 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -26 |
Alistair Overeem overcame a 3-fight experience disadvantage (11 vs 14 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Mark Hunt.
| Metric | Alistair Overeem | Mark Hunt |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 112 | 1 063 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alistair Overeem | Mark Hunt |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 1:44 | 1:44 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 615 | 1 463 |
| ELO Change | +74 | -37 |
Alistair Overeem gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Alistair Overeem | Mark Hunt |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 55 | 21 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 70 | 51 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 59 | 27 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 547 | 1 305 |
| ELO Change | +88 | -88 |
Alistair Overeem controlled the striking exchanges with 59 vs 27 total strikes, 55 vs 21 significant strikes, 78.6% vs 41.2% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Alistair Overeem capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Alistair Overeem | Mark Hunt |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:33 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 291 | 1 106 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
Alistair Overeem did not secure a significant ground advantage against Mark Hunt on the ground with 3:33 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Alistair Overeem | Mark Hunt |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 176 | 239 |
| Activity ELO | 1 261 | 1 154 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -17 |
Alistair Overeem demonstrated solid activity levels with 176 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Alistair Overeem capitalized on this activity level, while Mark Hunt's 239-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alistair Overeem | Mark Hunt |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 151 | 1 099 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -21 |
Alistair Overeem started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Mark Hunt is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alistair Overeem | Mark Hunt |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 098 | 1 057 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

