Alistair Overeem vs Sergei Pavlovich

Alistair Overeem's 14-fight experience advantage (15 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Alistair Overeem for the expected result. Had Sergei Pavlovich pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Alistair Overeem earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:21, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.

Alistair Overeem edged the striking exchanges with 22 vs 13 significant strikes, 84.6% vs 40.6% accuracy. Alistair Overeem capitalized on this striking dominance.

Alistair Overeem controlled Sergei Pavlovich on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 1:56 of control time, 12 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.

Alistair Overeem demonstrated solid activity levels with 169 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Alistair Overeem capitalized on this activity level, while Sergei Pavlovich's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Alistair Overeem started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Sergei Pavlovich is back at 0 with this loss.

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.