December 12, 2014
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alistair Overeem | Stefan Struve |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 14 |
| Experience Gap | -8 | 8 |
| Experience ELO | 1 133 | 1 100 |
| ELO Change | +57 | -37 |
Alistair Overeem overcame a 8-fight experience disadvantage (6 vs 14 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Stefan Struve.
| Metric | Alistair Overeem | Stefan Struve |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 025 | 1 064 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alistair Overeem | Stefan Struve |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:13 | 4:13 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 270 | 1 274 |
| ELO Change | +139 | -65 |
Alistair Overeem earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:13, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Alistair Overeem | Stefan Struve |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 17 | 2 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 25 | 5 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 24 | 4 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 229 | 1 026 |
| ELO Change | +115 | -115 |
Alistair Overeem controlled the striking exchanges with 24 vs 4 total strikes, 17 vs 2 significant strikes, 68.0% vs 40.0% accuracy. Alistair Overeem capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Alistair Overeem | Stefan Struve |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:40 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 14 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 152 | 1 062 |
| ELO Change | +76 | -76 |
Alistair Overeem controlled Stefan Struve on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 2:40 of control time, 14 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Alistair Overeem | Stefan Struve |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 100 | 651 |
| Activity ELO | 1 109 | 1 214 |
| ELO Change | +82 | -33 |
Alistair Overeem demonstrated solid activity levels with 100 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Alistair Overeem capitalized on this activity level, while Stefan Struve's 651-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alistair Overeem | Stefan Struve |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 032 | 1 091 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -28 |
Alistair Overeem started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Stefan Struve is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alistair Overeem | Stefan Struve |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 019 | 1 063 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -27 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

