August 16, 2013
Heavyweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alistair Overeem | Travis Browne |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | -5 | 5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 049 | 1 184 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
Travis Browne's 5-fight experience advantage (8 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Travis Browne for the expected result. Had Alistair Overeem pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Alistair Overeem | Travis Browne |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 993 | 1 096 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alistair Overeem | Travis Browne |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:08 | 4:08 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 104 | 1 376 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +41 |
Travis Browne earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:08, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Alistair Overeem | Travis Browne |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 41 | 14 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 66 | 27 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 46 | 14 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 2 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 053 | 1 306 |
| ELO Change | -48 | +48 |
Alistair Overeem controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (46 vs 14 total strikes), significant strike advantage (41 vs 14), superior accuracy (62.1% vs 51.9%), 2 knockdowns. However, since Alistair Overeem lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Travis Browne's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Alistair Overeem | Travis Browne |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:15 | 0:02 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 11 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 051 | 1 184 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +15 |
Travis Browne landed 1 knockdown followed by 2 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Alistair Overeem | Travis Browne |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 196 | 126 |
| Activity ELO | 995 | 1 160 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +28 |
Travis Browne demonstrated solid activity levels with 126 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Travis Browne capitalized on this activity level, while Alistair Overeem's 196-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alistair Overeem | Travis Browne |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 992 | 1 115 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +19 |
Travis Browne extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Alistair Overeem is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alistair Overeem | Travis Browne |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 987 | 1 095 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

