Alistair Overeem vs Walt Harris

May 15, 2020

Heavyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1269
(+46)
Alistair Overeem
Winner: Alistair Overeem
KO/TKO
Round 2 • 3:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Alistair Overeem+46
Walt Harris-39
1122
(-39)
Walt Harris

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Alistair Overeem: +18Walt Harris: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricAlistair OvereemWalt Harris
Total UFC Fights1814
Experience Gap4-4
Experience ELO1 2531 056
ELO Change+18-18
💡

What Happened

Alistair Overeem's 4-fight experience advantage (18 vs 14 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Alistair Overeem for the expected result. Had Walt Harris pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Alistair Overeem: +17Walt Harris: -17

Performance Statistics

MetricAlistair OvereemWalt Harris
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 1191 015
ELO Change+17-17
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Alistair Overeem: +78Walt Harris: -38

Performance Statistics

MetricAlistair OvereemWalt Harris
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round22
Time of Finish3:003:00
Win Type ELO1 5801 432
ELO Change+78-38
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What Happened

Alistair Overeem gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Alistair Overeem: +157Walt Harris: -157

Performance Statistics

MetricAlistair OvereemWalt Harris
Significant Strikes Landed6825
Significant Strikes Attempted8548
Total Strikes Landed9725
Knockdowns Scored11
Striking ELO1 3761 188
ELO Change+157-157
💡

What Happened

Alistair Overeem dominated the striking exchanges with 97 vs 25 total strikes, 68 vs 25 significant strikes, 80.0% vs 52.1% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Alistair Overeem capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Alistair Overeem: +40Walt Harris: -40

Performance Statistics

MetricAlistair OvereemWalt Harris
Takedowns Landed10
Takedowns Attempted10
Ground Control Time4:220:47
Ground Strikes Landed6018
Ground ELO1 2621 103
ELO Change+40-40
💡

What Happened

Alistair Overeem edged out Walt Harris on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 4:22 of control time, 60 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Alistair Overeem: +25Walt Harris: -14

Performance Statistics

MetricAlistair OvereemWalt Harris
Days Since Last Fight161301
Activity ELO1 2911 135
ELO Change+25-14
💡

What Happened

Alistair Overeem demonstrated solid activity levels with 161 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Alistair Overeem capitalized on this activity level, while Walt Harris's 301-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Alistair Overeem: +17Walt Harris: -15

Performance Statistics

MetricAlistair OvereemWalt Harris
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 1621 034
ELO Change+17-15
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What Happened

Alistair Overeem started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Walt Harris is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Alistair Overeem: +17Walt Harris: -17

Performance Statistics

MetricAlistair OvereemWalt Harris
Weight ClassHeavyweightHeavyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 1061 011
ELO Change+17-17
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.