April 14, 2017
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Aljamain Sterling | Augusto Mendes |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 4 | -4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 107 | 998 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -27 |
Aljamain Sterling's 4-fight experience advantage (7 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Aljamain Sterling for the expected result. Had Augusto Mendes pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Aljamain Sterling | Augusto Mendes |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 063 | 986 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Aljamain Sterling | Augusto Mendes |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 244 | 970 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
Aljamain Sterling earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Aljamain Sterling | Augusto Mendes |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 83 | 30 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 161 | 91 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 162 | 76 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 221 | 967 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
Aljamain Sterling dominated the striking exchanges with 162 vs 76 total strikes, 83 vs 30 significant strikes, 51.6% vs 33.0% accuracy. Aljamain Sterling capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Aljamain Sterling | Augusto Mendes |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 6 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 5:59 | 3:13 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 20 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 279 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -33 |
Aljamain Sterling controlled Augusto Mendes on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 5:59 of control time, 20 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Aljamain Sterling | Augusto Mendes |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 77 | 90 |
| Activity ELO | 1 131 | 990 |
| ELO Change | +50 | -17 |
Aljamain Sterling demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 77 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Aljamain Sterling capitalized on this activity level, while Augusto Mendes's 90-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Aljamain Sterling | Augusto Mendes |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 088 | 992 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -17 |
Aljamain Sterling started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Augusto Mendes is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Aljamain Sterling | Augusto Mendes |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 062 | 986 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.