April 20, 2018
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Aljamain Sterling | Brett Johns |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 10 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 6 | -6 |
| Experience ELO | 1 144 | 1 069 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -30 |
Aljamain Sterling's 6-fight experience advantage (10 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Aljamain Sterling for the expected result. Had Brett Johns pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Aljamain Sterling | Brett Johns |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 084 | 1 040 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Aljamain Sterling | Brett Johns |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 262 | 1 168 |
| ELO Change | +40 | -40 |
Aljamain Sterling earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Aljamain Sterling | Brett Johns |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 89 | 27 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 152 | 89 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 117 | 56 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 092 | 1 034 |
| ELO Change | +54 | -54 |
Aljamain Sterling dominated the striking exchanges with 117 vs 56 total strikes, 89 vs 27 significant strikes, 58.6% vs 30.3% accuracy. Aljamain Sterling capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Aljamain Sterling | Brett Johns |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 9 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:22 | 6:31 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 10 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 307 | 1 157 |
| ELO Change | +69 | -69 |
Aljamain Sterling controlled Brett Johns on the ground with 3 vs 1 takedowns, 1:22 of control time, 10 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Aljamain Sterling | Brett Johns |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 133 | 141 |
| Activity ELO | 1 199 | 1 080 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -17 |
Aljamain Sterling demonstrated solid activity levels with 133 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Aljamain Sterling capitalized on this activity level, while Brett Johns's 141-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Aljamain Sterling | Brett Johns |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 114 | 1 054 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -20 |
Aljamain Sterling started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Brett Johns is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Aljamain Sterling | Brett Johns |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 081 | 1 040 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

