April 12, 2024
Featherweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Aljamain Sterling | Calvin Kattar |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 20 | 13 |
| Experience Gap | 7 | -7 |
| Experience ELO | 1 377 | 1 209 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Aljamain Sterling's 7-fight experience advantage (20 vs 13 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Aljamain Sterling for the expected result. Had Calvin Kattar pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Aljamain Sterling | Calvin Kattar |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 398 | 1 067 |
| ELO Change | +6 | -6 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Aljamain Sterling | Calvin Kattar |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 549 | 1 345 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
Aljamain Sterling earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Aljamain Sterling | Calvin Kattar |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 39 | 8 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 71 | 29 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 89 | 19 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 479 | 1 278 |
| ELO Change | +44 | -44 |
Aljamain Sterling dominated the striking exchanges with 89 vs 19 total strikes, 39 vs 8 significant strikes, 54.9% vs 27.6% accuracy. Aljamain Sterling capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Aljamain Sterling | Calvin Kattar |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 8 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 13 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 10:43 | 0:05 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 11 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 615 | 1 247 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -36 |
Aljamain Sterling dominated Calvin Kattar on the ground with 8 vs 0 takedowns, 10:43 of control time, 11 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Aljamain Sterling | Calvin Kattar |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 238 | 532 |
| Activity ELO | 1 406 | 1 185 |
| ELO Change | +13 | -10 |
Aljamain Sterling demonstrated standard activity with 238 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Aljamain Sterling capitalized on this activity level, while Calvin Kattar's 532-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Aljamain Sterling | Calvin Kattar |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 422 | 1 113 |
| ELO Change | +7 | -6 |
Aljamain Sterling started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Calvin Kattar is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Aljamain Sterling | Calvin Kattar |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 236 | 1 054 |
| ELO Change | +12 | -12 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.