June 5, 2020
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Aljamain Sterling | Cory Sandhagen |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 14 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | 8 | -8 |
| Experience ELO | 1 269 | 1 208 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -32 |
Aljamain Sterling's 8-fight experience advantage (14 vs 6 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Aljamain Sterling for the expected result. Had Cory Sandhagen pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Aljamain Sterling | Cory Sandhagen |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 165 | 1 094 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Aljamain Sterling | Cory Sandhagen |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:28 | 1:28 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 451 | 1 272 |
| ELO Change | +60 | -32 |
Aljamain Sterling earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 1:28, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Aljamain Sterling | Cory Sandhagen |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 2 | 1 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 3 | 2 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 10 | 1 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 333 | 1 264 |
| ELO Change | +77 | -77 |
Aljamain Sterling slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 66.7% vs 50.0% accuracy. Aljamain Sterling capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Aljamain Sterling | Cory Sandhagen |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:13 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 467 | 1 247 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
Aljamain Sterling edged out Cory Sandhagen on the ground with 1:13 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Aljamain Sterling | Cory Sandhagen |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 364 | 294 |
| Activity ELO | 1 337 | 1 223 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
Aljamain Sterling demonstrated standard activity with 364 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Aljamain Sterling capitalized on this activity level, while Cory Sandhagen's 294-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Aljamain Sterling | Cory Sandhagen |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 5 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 230 | 1 148 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -19 |
Aljamain Sterling continued building serious momentum with a 5-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Cory Sandhagen's now at 0.
| Metric | Aljamain Sterling | Cory Sandhagen |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 161 | 1 094 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.