May 5, 2023
UFC Bantamweight Title Bout
Title Fight
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Aljamain Sterling | Henry Cejudo |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 18 | 13 |
| Experience Gap | 5 | -5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 400 | 1 338 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -32 |
Aljamain Sterling's 5-fight experience advantage (18 vs 13 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Aljamain Sterling for the expected result. Had Henry Cejudo pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Aljamain Sterling | Henry Cejudo |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | Yes | Yes |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 427 | 1 352 |
| ELO Change | +65 | -22 |
Title fight! The championship stakes amplified the pressure. Aljamain Sterling captured the UFC Bantamweight Title Bout with a title bonus.
| Metric | Aljamain Sterling | Henry Cejudo |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 5 | 5 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 588 | 1 559 |
| ELO Change | +10 | -10 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Aljamain Sterling receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Aljamain Sterling | Henry Cejudo |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 135 | 99 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 210 | 174 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 186 | 143 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 557 | 1 613 |
| ELO Change | +39 | -39 |
Aljamain Sterling controlled the striking exchanges with 186 vs 143 total strikes, 135 vs 99 significant strikes. Aljamain Sterling capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Aljamain Sterling | Henry Cejudo |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 4 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 15 | 8 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:00 | 5:06 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 8 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 678 | 1 499 |
| ELO Change | +63 | -63 |
Aljamain Sterling controlled Henry Cejudo on the ground with 4 vs 3 takedowns, 4:00 of control time, 8 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Aljamain Sterling | Henry Cejudo |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 196 | 1 092 |
| Activity ELO | 1 423 | 1 344 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -19 |
Aljamain Sterling demonstrated standard activity with 196 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Aljamain Sterling capitalized on this activity level, while Henry Cejudo's 1092-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Aljamain Sterling | Henry Cejudo |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 9 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 450 | 1 268 |
| ELO Change | +56 | -14 |
Aljamain Sterling continued building serious momentum with a 9-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Henry Cejudo's now at 0.
| Metric | Aljamain Sterling | Henry Cejudo |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 252 | 1 385 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -32 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.