February 16, 2019
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Aljamain Sterling | Jimmie Rivera |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 12 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | 4 | -4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 208 | 1 186 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -36 |
Aljamain Sterling's 4-fight experience advantage (12 vs 8 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Aljamain Sterling for the expected result. Had Jimmie Rivera pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Aljamain Sterling | Jimmie Rivera |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 125 | 1 084 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Aljamain Sterling | Jimmie Rivera |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 333 | 1 233 |
| ELO Change | +39 | -39 |
Aljamain Sterling earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Aljamain Sterling | Jimmie Rivera |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 101 | 24 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 176 | 84 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 129 | 36 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 205 | 1 101 |
| ELO Change | +61 | -61 |
Aljamain Sterling dominated the striking exchanges with 129 vs 36 total strikes, 101 vs 24 significant strikes, 57.4% vs 28.6% accuracy. Aljamain Sterling capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Aljamain Sterling | Jimmie Rivera |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 7 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:45 | 2:50 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 423 | 1 135 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Aljamain Sterling controlled Jimmie Rivera on the ground with 2:45 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Aljamain Sterling | Jimmie Rivera |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 163 | 163 |
| Activity ELO | 1 270 | 1 219 |
| ELO Change | +38 | -22 |
Aljamain Sterling demonstrated solid activity levels with 163 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Aljamain Sterling capitalized on this activity level, while Jimmie Rivera's 163-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Aljamain Sterling | Jimmie Rivera |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 165 | 1 124 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -21 |
Aljamain Sterling extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jimmie Rivera is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Aljamain Sterling | Jimmie Rivera |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 122 | 1 082 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.