December 8, 2017
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Aljamain Sterling | Marlon Moraes |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 9 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 6 | -6 |
| Experience ELO | 1 114 | 1 115 |
| ELO Change | -40 | +56 |
Marlon Moraes overcame a 6-fight experience disadvantage (3 vs 9 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Aljamain Sterling.
| Metric | Aljamain Sterling | Marlon Moraes |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 063 | 1 039 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Aljamain Sterling | Marlon Moraes |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:07 | 1:07 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 222 | 1 182 |
| ELO Change | -70 | +168 |
Marlon Moraes earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:07, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Aljamain Sterling | Marlon Moraes |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 3 | 7 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 10 | 14 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 3 | 10 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 2 |
| Striking ELO | 1 038 | 1 259 |
| ELO Change | -228 | +228 |
Marlon Moraes dominated the striking exchanges with 50.0% vs 30.0% accuracy, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Marlon Moraes capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Aljamain Sterling | Marlon Moraes |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:13 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 238 | 1 127 |
| ELO Change | -89 | +89 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Aljamain Sterling | Marlon Moraes |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 134 | 28 |
| Activity ELO | 1 165 | 1 250 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +207 |
Marlon Moraes demonstrated exceptional activity with 28 days since his last fight, earning a high activity bonus for the rapid turnaround. As the winner, Marlon Moraes capitalized on this activity level, while Aljamain Sterling's 134-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Aljamain Sterling | Marlon Moraes |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 092 | 1 054 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +32 |
Marlon Moraes extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Aljamain Sterling is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Aljamain Sterling | Marlon Moraes |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 060 | 1 038 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.