March 5, 2021
UFC Bantamweight Title Bout
Title Fight
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Aljamain Sterling | Petr Yan |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 15 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | 7 | -7 |
| Experience ELO | 1 305 | 1 287 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -36 |
Aljamain Sterling's 7-fight experience advantage (15 vs 8 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Aljamain Sterling for the expected result. Had Petr Yan pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Aljamain Sterling | Petr Yan |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | Yes | Yes |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 236 | 1 185 |
| ELO Change | +71 | -24 |
Title fight! The championship stakes amplified the pressure. Aljamain Sterling captured the UFC Bantamweight Title Bout with a title bonus.
| Metric | Aljamain Sterling | Petr Yan |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | DQ | DQ |
| Last Round | 4 | 4 |
| Time of Finish | 4:29 | 4:29 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 463 | 1 482 |
| ELO Change | +12 | -12 |
The fight concluded with Aljamain Sterling earning a DQ, with adjustments based on the nature of the result.
| Metric | Aljamain Sterling | Petr Yan |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 97 | 86 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 230 | 137 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 119 | 103 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 372 | 1 524 |
| ELO Change | +39 | -39 |
Aljamain Sterling edged the striking exchanges with 97 vs 86 significant strikes, 42.2% vs 62.8% accuracy. Aljamain Sterling capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Aljamain Sterling | Petr Yan |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 7 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 17 | 7 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:25 | 4:12 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 5 | 10 |
| Ground ELO | 1 488 | 1 359 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Aljamain Sterling did not secure a significant ground advantage against Petr Yan on the ground with 1 takedown, 3:25 of control time, 5 ground strikes, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Aljamain Sterling | Petr Yan |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 274 | 239 |
| Activity ELO | 1 358 | 1 314 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Aljamain Sterling demonstrated standard activity with 274 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Aljamain Sterling capitalized on this activity level, while Petr Yan's 239-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Aljamain Sterling | Petr Yan |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 6 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 285 | 1 237 |
| ELO Change | +55 | -23 |
Aljamain Sterling continued building serious momentum with a 6-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Petr Yan's now at 0.
| Metric | Aljamain Sterling | Petr Yan |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 181 | 1 124 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.