Aljamain Sterling vs Raphael Assuncao

January 27, 2017

Bantamweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1124
(-18)
Aljamain Sterling
Winner: Raphael Assuncao
Decision - Split
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Aljamain Sterling-18
Raphael Assuncao+19
1212
(+19)
Raphael Assuncao

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Aljamain Sterling: -27Raphael Assuncao: +27

Performance Statistics

MetricAljamain SterlingRaphael Assuncao
Total UFC Fights610
Experience Gap-44
Experience ELO1 0801 179
ELO Change-27+27
💡

What Happened

Raphael Assuncao's 4-fight experience advantage (10 vs 6 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Raphael Assuncao for the expected result. Had Aljamain Sterling pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Aljamain Sterling: -18Raphael Assuncao: +18

Performance Statistics

MetricAljamain SterlingRaphael Assuncao
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0441 123
ELO Change-18+18
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Aljamain Sterling: -10Raphael Assuncao: +10

Performance Statistics

MetricAljamain SterlingRaphael Assuncao
Fight OutcomeDecision - SplitDecision - Split
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 2271 266
ELO Change-10+10
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What Happened

The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Raphael Assuncao receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Aljamain Sterling: -18Raphael Assuncao: +18

Performance Statistics

MetricAljamain SterlingRaphael Assuncao
Significant Strikes Landed5239
Significant Strikes Attempted172101
Total Strikes Landed5239
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 2011 288
ELO Change-18+18
💡

What Happened

Aljamain Sterling controlled the striking through significant strike advantage (52 vs 39). However, since Aljamain Sterling lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Raphael Assuncao's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Aljamain Sterling: -19Raphael Assuncao: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricAljamain SterlingRaphael Assuncao
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted30
Ground Control Time0:020:00
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO1 2461 316
ELO Change-19+19
💡

What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Aljamain Sterling: -16Raphael Assuncao: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricAljamain SterlingRaphael Assuncao
Days Since Last Fight245204
Activity ELO1 0811 208
ELO Change-16+20
💡

What Happened

Raphael Assuncao demonstrated standard activity with 204 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Raphael Assuncao capitalized on this activity level, while Aljamain Sterling's 245-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Aljamain Sterling: -15Raphael Assuncao: +17

Performance Statistics

MetricAljamain SterlingRaphael Assuncao
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO1 0691 198
ELO Change-15+17
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What Happened

Raphael Assuncao started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Aljamain Sterling is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Aljamain Sterling: -19Raphael Assuncao: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricAljamain SterlingRaphael Assuncao
Weight ClassBantamweightBantamweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0431 117
ELO Change-19+19
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.