July 28, 2017
Catch Weight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Aljamain Sterling | Renan Barao |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 8 | 13 |
| Experience Gap | -5 | 5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 154 | 1 111 |
| ELO Change | +47 | -35 |
Aljamain Sterling overcame a 5-fight experience disadvantage (8 vs 13 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Renan Barao.
| Metric | Aljamain Sterling | Renan Barao |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 088 | 1 102 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Aljamain Sterling | Renan Barao |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 292 | 1 244 |
| ELO Change | +48 | -48 |
Aljamain Sterling earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Aljamain Sterling | Renan Barao |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 71 | 19 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 121 | 85 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 112 | 65 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 266 | 1 162 |
| ELO Change | +45 | -45 |
Aljamain Sterling controlled the striking exchanges with 112 vs 65 total strikes, 71 vs 19 significant strikes, 58.7% vs 22.4% accuracy. Aljamain Sterling capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Aljamain Sterling | Renan Barao |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 5:39 | 4:34 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 28 | 8 |
| Ground ELO | 1 327 | 1 244 |
| ELO Change | +48 | -48 |
Aljamain Sterling edged out Renan Barao on the ground with 1 takedown, 5:39 of control time, 28 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Aljamain Sterling | Renan Barao |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 105 | 308 |
| Activity ELO | 1 195 | 1 182 |
| ELO Change | +64 | -26 |
Aljamain Sterling demonstrated solid activity levels with 105 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Aljamain Sterling capitalized on this activity level, while Renan Barao's 308-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Aljamain Sterling | Renan Barao |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 119 | 1 143 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -26 |
Aljamain Sterling extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Renan Barao is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Aljamain Sterling | Renan Barao |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | N/A | N/A |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 085 | 1 070 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.