October 21, 2022
UFC Bantamweight Title Bout
Title Fight
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Aljamain Sterling | TJ Dillashaw |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 17 | 18 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 368 | 1 268 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -28 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (17 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Aljamain Sterling | TJ Dillashaw |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | Yes | Yes |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 362 | 1 303 |
| ELO Change | +69 | -23 |
Title fight! The championship stakes amplified the pressure. Aljamain Sterling captured the UFC Bantamweight Title Bout with a title bonus.
| Metric | Aljamain Sterling | TJ Dillashaw |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 3:44 | 3:44 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 578 | 1 496 |
| ELO Change | +103 | -50 |
Aljamain Sterling gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Aljamain Sterling | TJ Dillashaw |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 72 | 8 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 93 | 26 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 148 | 13 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 518 | 1 286 |
| ELO Change | +114 | -114 |
Aljamain Sterling dominated the striking exchanges with 148 vs 13 total strikes, 72 vs 8 significant strikes, 77.4% vs 30.8% accuracy. Aljamain Sterling capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Aljamain Sterling | TJ Dillashaw |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 5 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 8 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 7:06 | 0:03 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 53 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 615 | 1 408 |
| ELO Change | +93 | -93 |
Aljamain Sterling dominated TJ Dillashaw on the ground with 5 vs 0 takedowns, 7:06 of control time, 53 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Aljamain Sterling | TJ Dillashaw |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 196 | 455 |
| Activity ELO | 1 400 | 1 331 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -19 |
Aljamain Sterling demonstrated standard activity with 196 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Aljamain Sterling capitalized on this activity level, while TJ Dillashaw's 455-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Aljamain Sterling | TJ Dillashaw |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 8 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 394 | 1 233 |
| ELO Change | +53 | -16 |
Aljamain Sterling continued building serious momentum with a 8-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. TJ Dillashaw's now at 0.
| Metric | Aljamain Sterling | TJ Dillashaw |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 220 | 1 158 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.