April 17, 2015
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Aljamain Sterling | Takeya Mizugaki |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 11 |
| Experience Gap | -8 | 8 |
| Experience ELO | 1 118 | 1 083 |
| ELO Change | +56 | -37 |
Aljamain Sterling overcame a 8-fight experience disadvantage (3 vs 11 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Takeya Mizugaki.
| Metric | Aljamain Sterling | Takeya Mizugaki |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 066 | 1 057 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Aljamain Sterling | Takeya Mizugaki |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 2:11 | 2:11 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 199 | 1 072 |
| ELO Change | +57 | -38 |
Aljamain Sterling earned a finish with a Submission in round 3 at 2:11, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Takeya Mizugaki was submitted.
| Metric | Aljamain Sterling | Takeya Mizugaki |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 32 | 13 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 54 | 42 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 60 | 19 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 198 | 1 035 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -37 |
Aljamain Sterling controlled the striking exchanges with 60 vs 19 total strikes, 32 vs 13 significant strikes, 59.3% vs 31.0% accuracy. Aljamain Sterling capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Aljamain Sterling | Takeya Mizugaki |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 15 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 7:37 | 0:31 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 273 | 1 056 |
| ELO Change | +112 | -112 |
Aljamain Sterling dominated Takeya Mizugaki on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 7:37 of control time, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Aljamain Sterling | Takeya Mizugaki |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 276 | 203 |
| Activity ELO | 1 095 | 1 152 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -28 |
Aljamain Sterling demonstrated standard activity with 276 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Aljamain Sterling capitalized on this activity level, while Takeya Mizugaki's 203-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Aljamain Sterling | Takeya Mizugaki |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 082 | 1 086 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -25 |
Aljamain Sterling extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Takeya Mizugaki is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Aljamain Sterling | Takeya Mizugaki |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 066 | 1 052 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.