May 13, 2022
Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Allan Nascimento | Jake Hadley |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 007 | 966 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -34 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Allan Nascimento | Jake Hadley |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 002 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Allan Nascimento | Jake Hadley |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 034 | 957 |
| ELO Change | +43 | -43 |
Allan Nascimento earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Allan Nascimento | Jake Hadley |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 19 | 8 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 52 | 29 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 36 | 26 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 019 | 961 |
| ELO Change | +39 | -39 |
Allan Nascimento edged the striking exchanges with 19 vs 8 significant strikes, 36.5% vs 27.6% accuracy. Allan Nascimento capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Allan Nascimento | Jake Hadley |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 9:27 | 3:50 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 8 | 4 |
| Ground ELO | 1 007 | 936 |
| ELO Change | +64 | -64 |
Allan Nascimento controlled Jake Hadley on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 9:27 of control time, 8 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Allan Nascimento | Jake Hadley |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 196 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 008 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -22 |
Allan Nascimento demonstrated standard activity with 196 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Allan Nascimento capitalized on this activity level, while Jake Hadley's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Allan Nascimento | Jake Hadley |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 004 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -22 |
Allan Nascimento started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jake Hadley is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Allan Nascimento | Jake Hadley |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 002 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.