Allan Nascimento vs Mitch Raposo

June 20, 2026

Flyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1080
(-28)
Allan Nascimento
Winner: Mitch Raposo
Decision - Split
Round 3 • 5:00

C-ELO Evolution

Allan Nascimento-28
Mitch Raposo+30
1013
(+30)
Mitch Raposo

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Allan Nascimento: -43Mitch Raposo: +48

Performance Statistics

MetricAllan NascimentoMitch Raposo
Total UFC Fights64
Experience Gap2-2
Experience ELO1 0651 026
ELO Change-43+48
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What Happened

Mitch Raposo overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (4 vs 6 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Allan Nascimento.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Allan Nascimento: -26Mitch Raposo: +26

Performance Statistics

MetricAllan NascimentoMitch Raposo
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0371 007
ELO Change-26+26
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Allan Nascimento: -15Mitch Raposo: +15

Performance Statistics

MetricAllan NascimentoMitch Raposo
Fight OutcomeDecision - SplitDecision - Split
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 1771 034
ELO Change-15+15
💡

What Happened

The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Mitch Raposo receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Allan Nascimento: -29Mitch Raposo: +29

Performance Statistics

MetricAllan NascimentoMitch Raposo
Significant Strikes Landed5838
Significant Strikes Attempted14289
Total Strikes Landed9854
Knockdowns Scored10
Striking ELO1 067987
ELO Change-29+29
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What Happened

Allan Nascimento controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (98 vs 54 total strikes), significant strike advantage (58 vs 38), 1 knockdown. However, since Allan Nascimento lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Mitch Raposo's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Allan Nascimento: -31Mitch Raposo: +31

Performance Statistics

MetricAllan NascimentoMitch Raposo
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted41
Ground Control Time4:210:47
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO1 1271 002
ELO Change-31+31
💡

What Happened

Mitch Raposo did not secure a significant ground advantage against Allan Nascimento on the ground with 0:47 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Allan Nascimento: -27Mitch Raposo: +34

Performance Statistics

MetricAllan NascimentoMitch Raposo
Days Since Last Fight231238
Activity ELO1 0751 026
ELO Change-27+34
💡

What Happened

Mitch Raposo demonstrated standard activity with 238 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Mitch Raposo capitalized on this activity level, while Allan Nascimento's 231-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Allan Nascimento: -27Mitch Raposo: +32

Performance Statistics

MetricAllan NascimentoMitch Raposo
Win Streak02
Win Streak ELO1 0571 016
ELO Change-27+32
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What Happened

Mitch Raposo extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Allan Nascimento is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Allan Nascimento: -26Mitch Raposo: +26

Performance Statistics

MetricAllan NascimentoMitch Raposo
Weight ClassFlyweightFlyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0371 007
ELO Change-26+26
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.