October 29, 2021
Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Allan Nascimento | Tagir Ulanbekov |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 973 | 1 082 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Allan Nascimento | Tagir Ulanbekov |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 980 | 1 040 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Allan Nascimento | Tagir Ulanbekov |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 991 | 1 046 |
| ELO Change | -9 | +9 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Tagir Ulanbekov receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Allan Nascimento | Tagir Ulanbekov |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 25 | 18 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 37 | 40 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 74 | 62 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 980 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
Allan Nascimento controlled the striking through solid significant strike edge (25 vs 18), superior accuracy (67.6% vs 45.0%). However, since Allan Nascimento lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Tagir Ulanbekov's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Allan Nascimento | Tagir Ulanbekov |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 4 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:16 | 12:04 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 10 | 10 |
| Ground ELO | 943 | 1 109 |
| ELO Change | -57 | +57 |
Tagir Ulanbekov controlled Allan Nascimento on the ground with 4 vs 0 takedowns, 12:04 of control time, 10 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Allan Nascimento | Tagir Ulanbekov |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 385 |
| Activity ELO | 980 | 1 038 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +18 |
Tagir Ulanbekov demonstrated extended layoff with 385 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Tagir Ulanbekov capitalized on this activity level, while Allan Nascimento's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Allan Nascimento | Tagir Ulanbekov |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 980 | 1 046 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +24 |
Tagir Ulanbekov extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Allan Nascimento is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Allan Nascimento | Tagir Ulanbekov |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 980 | 1 040 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

