January 18, 2019
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Allen Crowder | Greg Hardy |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 004 | 966 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -34 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Allen Crowder | Greg Hardy |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 002 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Allen Crowder | Greg Hardy |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | DQ | DQ |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 2:28 | 2:28 |
| Win Type ELO | 975 | 988 |
| ELO Change | +12 | -12 |
The fight concluded with Allen Crowder earning a DQ, with adjustments based on the nature of the result.
| Metric | Allen Crowder | Greg Hardy |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 12 | 29 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 30 | 64 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 16 | 35 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 939 | 974 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
Greg Hardy controlled the striking through superior volume (35 vs 16 total strikes), significant strike advantage (29 vs 12). However, since Greg Hardy lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Allen Crowder's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Allen Crowder | Greg Hardy |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:22 | 1:16 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 6 |
| Ground ELO | 992 | 967 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -33 |
Allen Crowder slightly outworked Greg Hardy on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 2:22 of control time, 3 ground strikes, earning modest grappling bonuses.
| Metric | Allen Crowder | Greg Hardy |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 413 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 000 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -22 |
Allen Crowder demonstrated extended layoff with 413 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Allen Crowder capitalized on this activity level, while Greg Hardy's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Allen Crowder | Greg Hardy |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 004 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -22 |
Allen Crowder started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Greg Hardy is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Allen Crowder | Greg Hardy |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 002 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.