Allen Crowder vs Justin Willis

December 1, 2017

Heavyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

966
(-34)
Allen Crowder
Winner: Justin Willis
KO/TKO
Round 1 • 2:33

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Allen Crowder-34
Justin Willis+43
1075
(+43)
Justin Willis

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Allen Crowder: -30Justin Willis: +30

Performance Statistics

MetricAllen CrowderJustin Willis
Total UFC Fights12
Experience Gap-11
Experience ELO9701 051
ELO Change-30+30
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What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Allen Crowder: -20Justin Willis: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricAllen CrowderJustin Willis
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9801 041
ELO Change-20+20
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Allen Crowder: -37Justin Willis: +83

Performance Statistics

MetricAllen CrowderJustin Willis
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round11
Time of Finish2:332:33
Win Type ELO9631 125
ELO Change-37+83
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What Happened

Justin Willis earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:33, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Allen Crowder: -87Justin Willis: +87

Performance Statistics

MetricAllen CrowderJustin Willis
Significant Strikes Landed1522
Significant Strikes Attempted3844
Total Strikes Landed1725
Knockdowns Scored01
Striking ELO9131 116
ELO Change-87+87
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What Happened

Justin Willis controlled the striking exchanges with 22 vs 15 significant strikes, 50.0% vs 39.5% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Justin Willis capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Allen Crowder: -41Justin Willis: +41

Performance Statistics

MetricAllen CrowderJustin Willis
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted00
Ground Control Time0:000:02
Ground Strikes Landed02
Ground ELO9591 118
ELO Change-41+41
💡

What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Allen Crowder: -20Justin Willis: +39

Performance Statistics

MetricAllen CrowderJustin Willis
Days Since Last FightN/A140
Activity ELO9801 060
ELO Change-20+39
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What Happened

Justin Willis demonstrated solid activity levels with 140 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Justin Willis capitalized on this activity level, while Allen Crowder's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Allen Crowder: -20Justin Willis: +24

Performance Statistics

MetricAllen CrowderJustin Willis
Win Streak02
Win Streak ELO9801 047
ELO Change-20+24
💡

What Happened

Justin Willis extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Allen Crowder is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Allen Crowder: -20Justin Willis: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricAllen CrowderJustin Willis
Weight ClassHeavyweightHeavyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9801 041
ELO Change-20+20
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.