December 1, 2017
Heavyweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Allen Crowder | Justin Willis |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 970 | 1 051 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Allen Crowder | Justin Willis |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 980 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Allen Crowder | Justin Willis |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:33 | 2:33 |
| Win Type ELO | 963 | 1 125 |
| ELO Change | -37 | +83 |
Justin Willis earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:33, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Allen Crowder | Justin Willis |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 15 | 22 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 38 | 44 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 17 | 25 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 913 | 1 116 |
| ELO Change | -87 | +87 |
Justin Willis controlled the striking exchanges with 22 vs 15 significant strikes, 50.0% vs 39.5% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Justin Willis capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Allen Crowder | Justin Willis |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:02 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 959 | 1 118 |
| ELO Change | -41 | +41 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Allen Crowder | Justin Willis |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 140 |
| Activity ELO | 980 | 1 060 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +39 |
Justin Willis demonstrated solid activity levels with 140 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Justin Willis capitalized on this activity level, while Allen Crowder's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Allen Crowder | Justin Willis |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 980 | 1 047 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +24 |
Justin Willis extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Allen Crowder is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Allen Crowder | Justin Willis |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 980 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

