June 3, 2022
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alonzo Menifield | Askar Mozharov |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 8 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 7 | -7 |
| Experience ELO | 1 104 | 976 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
Alonzo Menifield's 7-fight experience advantage (8 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Alonzo Menifield for the expected result. Had Askar Mozharov pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Alonzo Menifield | Askar Mozharov |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 042 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alonzo Menifield | Askar Mozharov |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:40 | 4:40 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 215 | 977 |
| ELO Change | +50 | -23 |
Alonzo Menifield earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:40, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Alonzo Menifield | Askar Mozharov |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 19 | 2 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 22 | 11 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 55 | 11 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 136 | 908 |
| ELO Change | +92 | -92 |
Alonzo Menifield controlled the striking exchanges with 55 vs 11 total strikes, 19 vs 2 significant strikes, 86.4% vs 18.2% accuracy. Alonzo Menifield capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Alonzo Menifield | Askar Mozharov |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:19 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 16 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 128 | 940 |
| ELO Change | +60 | -60 |
Alonzo Menifield controlled Askar Mozharov on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 4:19 of control time, 16 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Alonzo Menifield | Askar Mozharov |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 182 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 107 | 984 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -16 |
Alonzo Menifield demonstrated standard activity with 182 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Alonzo Menifield capitalized on this activity level, while Askar Mozharov's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alonzo Menifield | Askar Mozharov |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 059 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -19 |
Alonzo Menifield started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Askar Mozharov is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alonzo Menifield | Askar Mozharov |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 042 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

