March 26, 2021
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alonzo Menifield | Fabio Cherant |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 4 | -4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 032 | 969 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -31 |
Alonzo Menifield's 4-fight experience advantage (5 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Alonzo Menifield for the expected result. Had Fabio Cherant pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Alonzo Menifield | Fabio Cherant |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 021 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alonzo Menifield | Fabio Cherant |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:11 | 1:11 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 161 | 970 |
| ELO Change | +56 | -30 |
Alonzo Menifield earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 1:11, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Alonzo Menifield | Fabio Cherant |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 3 | 1 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 059 | 927 |
| ELO Change | +73 | -73 |
Virtually no striking took place with only 3 total significant strikes exchanged. Both fighters immediately engaged in grappling, making striking analysis irrelevant to this fight.
| Metric | Alonzo Menifield | Fabio Cherant |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:07 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 077 | 944 |
| ELO Change | +56 | -56 |
Alonzo Menifield controlled Fabio Cherant on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 1:07 of control time, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Alonzo Menifield | Fabio Cherant |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 204 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 056 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -19 |
Alonzo Menifield demonstrated standard activity with 204 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Alonzo Menifield capitalized on this activity level, while Fabio Cherant's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alonzo Menifield | Fabio Cherant |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 031 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -21 |
Alonzo Menifield started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Fabio Cherant is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alonzo Menifield | Fabio Cherant |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 021 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.