July 7, 2023
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alonzo Menifield | Jimmy Crute |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 11 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 162 | 1 075 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
Alonzo Menifield's 2-fight experience advantage (11 vs 9 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Alonzo Menifield for the expected result. Had Jimmy Crute pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Alonzo Menifield | Jimmy Crute |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 077 | 1 007 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alonzo Menifield | Jimmy Crute |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 1:55 | 1:55 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 352 | 1 203 |
| ELO Change | +54 | -35 |
Alonzo Menifield earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 1:55, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Jimmy Crute was submitted.
| Metric | Alonzo Menifield | Jimmy Crute |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 21 | 26 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 36 | 53 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 25 | 32 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 183 | 1 119 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
Jimmy Crute controlled the striking through solid significant strike edge (26 vs 21). However, since Jimmy Crute lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Alonzo Menifield's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Alonzo Menifield | Jimmy Crute |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:45 | 1:12 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 217 | 1 121 |
| ELO Change | +43 | -43 |
Alonzo Menifield edged out Jimmy Crute on the ground with 0 takedowns, 1:45 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Alonzo Menifield | Jimmy Crute |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 147 | 147 |
| Activity ELO | 1 183 | 1 103 |
| ELO Change | +39 | -20 |
Alonzo Menifield demonstrated solid activity levels with 147 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Alonzo Menifield capitalized on this activity level, while Jimmy Crute's 147-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alonzo Menifield | Jimmy Crute |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 100 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -19 |
Alonzo Menifield started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jimmy Crute is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alonzo Menifield | Jimmy Crute |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 077 | 1 006 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

