February 22, 2025
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alonzo Menifield | Julius Walker |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 15 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 14 | -14 |
| Experience ELO | 1 145 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Alonzo Menifield's 14-fight experience advantage (15 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Alonzo Menifield for the expected result. Had Julius Walker pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Alonzo Menifield | Julius Walker |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 071 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alonzo Menifield | Julius Walker |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 298 | 997 |
| ELO Change | +3 | -3 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Alonzo Menifield receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Alonzo Menifield | Julius Walker |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 87 | 86 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 147 | 171 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 113 | 114 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 094 | 984 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
Alonzo Menifield slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 59.2% vs 50.3% accuracy. Alonzo Menifield capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Alonzo Menifield | Julius Walker |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 9 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:43 | 5:31 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 146 | 987 |
| ELO Change | +13 | -13 |
Alonzo Menifield did not secure a significant ground advantage against Julius Walker on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:43 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Alonzo Menifield | Julius Walker |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 204 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 187 | 989 |
| ELO Change | +14 | -11 |
Alonzo Menifield demonstrated standard activity with 204 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Alonzo Menifield capitalized on this activity level, while Julius Walker's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alonzo Menifield | Julius Walker |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 099 | 984 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -16 |
Alonzo Menifield started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Julius Walker is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alonzo Menifield | Julius Walker |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 071 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

