June 28, 2019
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alonzo Menifield | Paul Craig |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | -5 | 5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 061 | 974 |
| ELO Change | +40 | -30 |
Alonzo Menifield overcame a 5-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 7 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Paul Craig.
| Metric | Alonzo Menifield | Paul Craig |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 041 | 984 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alonzo Menifield | Paul Craig |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:19 | 3:19 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 177 | 1 037 |
| ELO Change | +87 | -40 |
Alonzo Menifield earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 3:19, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Alonzo Menifield | Paul Craig |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 8 | 7 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 22 | 13 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 8 | 21 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 141 | 899 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -27 |
Paul Craig controlled the striking through superior accuracy (53.8% vs 36.4%). However, since Paul Craig lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Alonzo Menifield's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Alonzo Menifield | Paul Craig |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:22 | 0:12 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 4 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 099 | 948 |
| ELO Change | +46 | -46 |
Alonzo Menifield controlled Paul Craig on the ground with 1:22 of control time, 4 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Alonzo Menifield | Paul Craig |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 161 | 91 |
| Activity ELO | 1 060 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | +39 | -22 |
Alonzo Menifield demonstrated solid activity levels with 161 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Alonzo Menifield capitalized on this activity level, while Paul Craig's 91-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alonzo Menifield | Paul Craig |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 047 | 990 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -20 |
Alonzo Menifield extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Paul Craig is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alonzo Menifield | Paul Craig |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 041 | 984 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.