January 14, 2014
Flyweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alptekin Ozkilic | Louis Smolka |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 001 | 1 080 |
| ELO Change | -80 | +80 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Alptekin Ozkilic | Louis Smolka |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 000 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alptekin Ozkilic | Louis Smolka |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 969 | 1 043 |
| ELO Change | -43 | +43 |
Louis Smolka earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Alptekin Ozkilic | Louis Smolka |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 60 | 92 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 193 | 245 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 63 | 96 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 983 | 1 034 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +34 |
Louis Smolka controlled the striking exchanges with 96 vs 63 total strikes, 92 vs 60 significant strikes. Louis Smolka capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Alptekin Ozkilic | Louis Smolka |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 9 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 14 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:35 | 1:41 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 18 |
| Ground ELO | 1 023 | 1 030 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
Louis Smolka did not secure a significant ground advantage against Alptekin Ozkilic on the ground with 0 takedowns, 1:41 of control time, 18 ground strikes, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Alptekin Ozkilic | Louis Smolka |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 32 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 000 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
Louis Smolka demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Louis Smolka capitalized on this activity level, while Alptekin Ozkilic's 32-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alptekin Ozkilic | Louis Smolka |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 002 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +25 |
Louis Smolka started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Alptekin Ozkilic is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alptekin Ozkilic | Louis Smolka |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 000 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.