July 27, 2018
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alvaro Herrera Mendoza | Devin Powell |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 926 | 992 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +33 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (4 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Alvaro Herrera Mendoza | Devin Powell |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 955 | 980 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alvaro Herrera Mendoza | Devin Powell |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:52 | 1:52 |
| Win Type ELO | 967 | 1 069 |
| ELO Change | -50 | +121 |
Devin Powell earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:52, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Alvaro Herrera Mendoza | Devin Powell |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 7 | 12 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 23 | 26 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 7 | 12 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 866 | 1 043 |
| ELO Change | -112 | +112 |
Devin Powell controlled the striking exchanges with 12 vs 7 significant strikes, 46.2% vs 30.4% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Devin Powell capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Alvaro Herrera Mendoza | Devin Powell |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:10 | 0:11 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 773 | 912 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Alvaro Herrera Mendoza | Devin Powell |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 357 | 398 |
| Activity ELO | 956 | 979 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +20 |
Devin Powell demonstrated extended layoff with 398 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Devin Powell capitalized on this activity level, while Alvaro Herrera Mendoza's 357-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alvaro Herrera Mendoza | Devin Powell |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 957 | 983 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +24 |
Devin Powell started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Alvaro Herrera Mendoza is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alvaro Herrera Mendoza | Devin Powell |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 955 | 980 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

